India's Peril

India closed out yesterday having logged just over 330,000 new Covid cases. One doctor told the CBC he hopes they can confine the pandemic to the cities because, once it escapes to spread in the country, there'll be no way to control it.


Hospitals are running out of medical grade oxygen, forcing them to stop admitting Covid victims.

Comments

  1. Been trying to do the math on this. I think my numbers are wrong. At least, I hope they're wrong.

    I remember last year thinking 200,000 dead by December would be unfathomable but I was pretty close to that estimate. This variant would do the same amount of damage in quite a bit less time. Much less time. If Covid-19 takes three weeks to double in number, and this one takes one week to double, then in the nine months it took for the toll to reach 200,000 would be reduced to three months.

    Delays in reacting to this variant isn't the difference between hundreds and thousands of deaths but instead thousands and tens of thousands of deaths. There should be no reopening after two weeks for this. That time needs to be doubled, at least, and tripled, for safety.

    Canada needs to re-implement its stimulus to keep people afloat for at least six months, with four month increments as necessary (although just keeping it going indefinitely is the best and only option that should even be considered).

    But Trudeau, and the premiers, just like Modi, are going to keep pretending as though sunny days are just about here.

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    Replies
    1. Quick edit: Delays in reacting to this variant isn't the difference between hundreds and thousands of deaths but instead thousands and tens of thousands of deaths. Per day.

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    2. I've watched as India's daily infection rate hit 200,000 and continued to climb, finishing out the week at 300,000 that has since reached 350,000. It's helpful to remember that America's one day infection peak came in January when it recorded 297,000 new cases. Given the population difference, America's 297,000 still dwarfs India's 350,000 - for now but possibly not for long.

      I can't see Canada repeating the last stimulus programme, Troy. Not without the courage to implement a hefty wealth tax in the post-pandemic period.

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